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Segunda División

Final

Live · 88'
Almería
1 – 2Kickoff
Málaga CF
— UD Almeria Stadium
RWSports forecast41% confidence
Almería31%
Draw28%
Málaga CF41%
Recommended pickMálaga CF win
Predicted score0–0
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
The teams

Who's playing

HomeAlmería
AwayMálaga CF
Previous meetings

Team head-to-head

Almería wins120%
Draws360%
Málaga CF wins120%
Total meetings5
Almería goals7
Málaga CF goals7
Average goals2.80

Recent meetings

—Málaga CF0-0Almería
—Almería3-2Málaga CF
—Málaga CF2-1Almería
—Almería2-2Málaga CF
—Málaga CF1-1Almería
Confirmed lineups

Players head-to-head

HomeAlmería
4-2-3-1
1A. FernándezG
22D. ChirinoD
5R. ElyD
18F. BoniniD
3Á. MuñozD
17D. LopyM
29S. DžodićM
23A. EmbarbaM
11S. ArribasM
10N. MelamedM
24M. d. l. FuenteF
AwayMálaga CF
4-4-2
1A. HerreroG
3C. PugaD
16D. MurilloD
20F. MonteroD
31R. GarridoD
10D. LarrubiaM
12C. DotorM
23I. MerinoM
11J. MuñozM
22D. LorenzoF
9ChupeteF

These two have already played to a goalless draw once this season—but the rematch vibes feel different. With Málaga missing key attacking depth and Almería riding some recent momentum at home, expect a bit more adventure this time around. 🔥

Almería are 2W-2D-1L over their last five and just edged past Castellón 3-2 at the Estadio de Almería. Málaga remain unbeaten in their last five (2W-3D) but that injury list—Á. Pastor and L. Sanchez both out—leaves them thinner in the final third.

Key storylines:

  • Almería's home form vs a Málaga side missing attacking reinforcements should tilt the balance slightly toward the hosts despite the model's away lean
  • Thalys and P. Soko leading Almería's press up top will need to capitalize on Málaga's defensive reshuffling
  • Chupete and A. Niño carrying Málaga's creative load without their usual support cast

Expected lineups:

  • Almería: A. Fernández, R. Ely, Á. Muñoz, F. Bonini, D. Chirino, S. Arribas, A. Embarba, M. d. l. Fuente, S. Džodić, Thalys, P. Soko
  • Málaga CF: A. Herrero, C. Puga, R. Garrido, D. Murillo, E. Galilea, J. Muñoz, D. Larrubia, Chupete, C. Dotor, I. Merino, A. Niño

Best picks:

  • Total Goals 1.5: Over 1.5 goals

Prediction:

Almería 2–1 Málaga CF. Slight home edge despite the model's away lean—injuries bite harder than expected. ⚽

In the dugout

Coaches

AlmeríaRubiSpain
Formation 4-2-3-1Profile attackingDefensive line midPressing 55%
anti footballfalse 9
Málaga CFJuan FunesSpain
Formation 4-4-2Profile balancedDefensive line midPressing 64%
inverted fbtiki taka
Match information

Fixture details

CompetitionSegunda División
RoundFinal
VenueUD Almeria Stadium, Almeria
Stadium capacity17,400 seats
Stadium opened2004
Half-time0–0
Weather26°C · wind 4 km/h
Travel distance178 km
BSD prediction

Model analysis

Home 31%Draw 28%Away 41%
Recommended pickMálaga CF win
Modelv5.0
Predicted scoreAlmería 0–0 Málaga CF
Confidence41%
Timeline

Match incidents

90'periodSecond half
87'substitutionMatch update
87'substitutionMatch update
79'substitutionMatch update
79'substitutionMatch update
76'goalLéo Baptistão
73'substitutionMatch update
73'substitutionMatch update
73'substitutionMatch update
71'goalD. Larrubia
66'cardChupete
65'goalChupete
59'substitutionMatch update
53'substitutionMatch update
50'cardC. Dotor
46'cardD. Lopy
45'periodHT
45'injuryTimeMatch update